This commentary is by Paul Dame, chair of the Vermont GOP.
On Friday The Trafalgar Group released polling results from over 1,000 participants that showed American’s most popular Governor Phil Scott earning over 65% of the general election vote, similar to his results in 2020 when he faced an opponent with higher name recognition. And we sincerely thank Vermonters for their continued support for Gov. Scott.
Even more exciting for Vermont Republicans, we saw that in the race for U.S. Senate, Republican Gerald Malloy was shown to be within 7 points of Progressive Democrat Peter Welch.
While these results may be surprising to some, they reassure us of several anecdotal experiences we have seen on the ground with people who have traditionally voted Democrat in the past, but are walking away and have decided to make a change this election to vote Republican, and we are glad to see that may be happening even at the U.S. Senate level.
During the primary, many regular political observers — including myself — were surprised to see Malloy out-polling U.S. Attorney Christina Nolan. But the primary results demonstrated the poll was more accurate than many prognosticators had first believed. It is not difficult to believe the same thing may be happening again as President Biden’s divisive rhetoric and series of cascading crisis after crisis have put an unprecedented amount of pressure on Democrats like Peter Welch who have accomplished virtually nothing of significance in the past decade and a half but have instead been a rubber stamp on every bad policy over the past 2 years.
Gerald Malloy’s common-sense campaign which seeks to represent Independent-minded Vermonters instead of Peter’s Pandering to the far-left is reaching new people who have not voted Republican in the past, but want a new direction away from the shortages that average Vermonters are seeing in everything from gasoline, energy, baby formula, housing, childcare and even in the workforce.
The hard work that Malloy has done to reach out to voters is beginning to pay off and is bringing a new level of excitement to Republicans across the state. Vermonters are not happy with the status quo and Peter Welch’s Washington machine.
We expect Democrats to continue their practice of ignoring information that does not conform to their progressive echo chamber. They will likely pan these results, creating excuses instead of addressing the serious problems their divisive rhetoric is causing with independents.
For two years Democrats have been covering their ears and pursuing their own far-left agenda without listening to public input. They didn’t listen to law enforcement telling them we were headed for a public safety crisis, they didn’t listen to financial experts telling them we were headed for an inflation crisis, and they didn’t listen to parents telling them we have problems in our schools. Democrats dismiss anything that contradicts their agenda, and they will likely dismiss these poll results in a similar manner. This is a side-effect of single-party rule under Democrats.
If they continue to irresponsibly ignore the obvious signs around them — the way they have with education, inflation and public safety — then it will present an incredible opportunity for Vermont Republicans to shock the world by helping to elect Gerald Malloy, who is listening to the concerns of the voters he is speaking with on a daily basis.
Vermont is a small state with a small media market. This U.S. Senate race could be won with just 150,000 votes, so a very modest investment could produce outsized results. If this race brings in new financial support, the state party stands ready to help turn out and energize voters who want to support our great candidates from the ones shown here in the Trafalgar poll, like Gov. Scott and Gerald Malloy – as well at Lt. Gov Candidate Joe Benning, our other statewide candidates like H. Brooke Paige, Mike Tagliavia and Rick Morton — down to over 100 other candidates for House and Senate races across our great state.
Vermont Republicans are listening to what voters are telling us while Democrats are dismissing. Vermonter Republicans are putting the voters’ priorities first — not our party’s. This poll indicates voters are starting to see that and are supporting Vermont Republicans at an increasing rate.
A link to the full Trafalgar poll can be found here.